US intelligence is concerned about the “strong likelihood” of interference by Russia, China, and Iran in the upcoming US midterm elections and experts believe in the scenario of concerted action.
“The possibility of concerted action between these three countries [Russia, China, and Iran] cannot be excluded. We know, right from the start, that they share a common interest: to defeat what they consider to be the US strategy to maintain the hegemony of control inherited from the 20th century”, Herbert Lin, a researcher at the Hoover Institution think tank, told Lusa.
This analyst and author of the book Cyberthreats and Nuclear Weapons (literal translation) recalled that, in recent years, Moscow and Beijing have exchanged information about US military programs, in particular the nuclear program.
Herbert Lin, by the way, considers that the recent declarations of “eternal friendship” between the two regimes is based, in part, on these common interests of seeking to weaken the position of the United States in various parts of the globe and that Iran, in this perspective, is an ally “not to be despised”.
Recently, senior officials from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and National Security Agency (NSA) have revealed that they are in possession of data that point to the continued threat of external interference in the US electoral system.
These agents underlined that Russia is interested in taking advantage of the upcoming mid-term elections for the US Congress, later this year, to promote a disinformation campaign, with a view to obtaining benefits from the ongoing invasion of Ukraine.
FBI Director Christopher Wray explained that Russia will not be alone in this purpose of interfering in the electoral process, through digital means, and it is also likely that Iran and China have plans to damage American democracy.
“The Russians want to divide us. The Chinese try to manage our decline. And the Iranians are looking for us to move away from them”, summarized the director of the information agency, showing serious concerns about the level of threat that looms over the upcoming mid-term elections.
The director of the British foreign intelligence agency MI5, Ken McCallum, has repeatedly said publicly that his agents have more than doubled the work of monitoring Chinese activity in the last three years.
In early July, the directors of the FBI and MI5 made a very rare joint public appearance in London to denounce the increasing threat that China poses to world security, referring to the risks of cyber-espionage actions by China on which doubts about collaboration with Russia persist.
The NSA and the FBI even revealed that they have “strong evidence” that the acts of interference in the US elections, which date back to 2016, when former President Donald Trump won, can be repeated in future electoral acts, from the outset. in the mid-term elections, and that Russia will not be the only player.
During a cybersecurity conference in New York last week, Christopher Wray recalled that in the 2020 presidential election, which gave victory to Joe Biden, there was evidence that Iran sought to influence voters in Florida to try to prevent Donald’s Trump re-election.
“We know that the enemy countries of the United States are preparing to continue to interfere in the elections. We suspect they are getting along with each other. But we know very little, if anything, about its real goals. Will it prevent Biden’s re-election (…)? Will it prevent the return to power of the Republican Party? We don’t know,” Kai Lin Tay, from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, told Lusa.
In a recent interview with The New York Times, Christopher Wray acknowledged that Russia and China have a history of trying to influence US electoral processes, but that this is just one element in a complex cyber-espionage gear.
“Elections are just one piece of a much larger mosaic for them,” the FBI director admitted, referring to Russian and Chinese strategy.
On the other hand, the US media have cited sources from the information agencies who are concerned about the “high probability” that Russian President Vladimir Putin will use his array of cyberattacks and disinformation strategies in the upcoming elections. United States interims for propaganda purposes.
According to these sources, Putin wants to take the opportunity to spread false information about the strategy of Washington and Brussels to impose sanctions on Moscow, warning of the damage that these punitive measures are causing in the US and European economies.
“Putin will do anything to put doubts in voters’ minds about the moral necessity and economic cost of helping Ukraine,” said Stephen Hanson, vice president of the University of Virginia, as quoted by Newsweek magazine.
Some security experts also admit that the Russian President may again use his hacker mercenaries to disrupt the election process at the end of this year, with the aim of undermining confidence in the integrity of the political process in the United States, in retaliation for the support to Ukraine and in a demonstration of its strength in this geopolitical chessboard.
Source: With Agencies